Writing
Pieces on betting integrity, prediction markets, trading and regulation, written from operational experience rather than observation.
Analysis
September 2026 · Prediction markets and regulation
The wisdom of the crowd cuts both waysSeven filings came in from the sports side before the CFTC comment file closed on 27 July, submitted separately by organisations with distinct commercial positions and separate counsel. They converged on the same integrity architecture. The proposed rule rewards having that architecture rather than operating it.
Read the full piece →August 2026 · Integrity and detection
The six-alert continentAfrica recorded six suspicious betting alerts in a quarter. Turkey found 371 referees with betting accounts in a single database query. The difference between those figures is measurement, and it can be closed by licence condition without building a central register.
Read the full piece →Press
June 2026 · iGaming Business
How to keep Africa's gambling boom onshoreOn channelisation across African markets: legislation drafted for land-based gaming has not caught up with consumers betting online at scale, and the real competition for a licensed operator is the informal local bookmaker offering the same accumulator with simpler cash mechanics.
Read on iGaming Business →May 2026 · CasinoBeats
The US is asking the wrong question about prediction marketsAn extended interview on the structural difference between how regulated jurisdictions categorise sports betting derivatives, and the architecture now taking shape around event contracts in the United States.
Read on CasinoBeats →January 2025 · EGR North America
IC360 appoints ex-Betway global head of trading as senior advisorCoverage of the IC360 Senior Advisor appointment, an engagement concluded in 2025.
Read on EGR →Archive
These pieces were published between March and May 2026 under BetTrust Solutions, the practice's former trading name. They are retained unaltered as a record of the work.
May 2026 · Regulation and integrity
CFTC ANPRM on prediction markets: joint submission with Elie MishoryThe full text of the public comment letter filed with the CFTC on 30 April 2026 in response to the Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on prediction markets.
Read the full piece →April 2026 · Market structure
The crowd knows: why prediction markets outperform bookmakersPrediction markets processed billions in volume during the 2024 US election. Most people citing them had no idea what they were looking at, or why the price was better information than the poll.
Read the full piece →April 2026 · Regulation and integrity
Prediction markets in the UK: the UKGC has stated its position, the hard work starts nowThe Gambling Commission classified prediction markets as gambling in February. Whether that classification holds or faces legal challenge, the operational questions underneath it remain unanswered.
Read the full piece →March 2026 · Regulation and safer gambling
Liberalisation, channelisation and the athleteThe channelisation thesis is correct. The regulated industry has to lead on self-regulation before a crisis does it for them.
Read the full piece →March 2026 · Regulation
Prediction markets: what does effective integrity monitoring look like?When a price moves sharply the night before a vote, the instinct of anyone from regulated betting markets is immediate. Accurate and clean are not the same thing.
Read the full piece →